November 2003

A New Perfidious Challenge

Ah, ego. Such a thing of beauty. My challenge to the other members of this site (or anybody else with something to confess) is simple: What have you been wrong about? Pick some issues (hopefully serious ones), and explain how you were wrong about them, and what made you change your mind.

It has come to my attention that common ground can be found more easily in our errors, than in righteousness...

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 1

All The Sophistication Of A Ham Sandwich

There's nothing a loyal Republican enjoys more than "reading" something like Ted Rall's essay on motivations in Iraq at a Grade 2 level, and sliding obliviously past the deeper meanings encoded in those oh-so-tricksy wordies.

"Writes like he means it". Bullshit. Go read Rall's article and find a way to read it as anything other than insight into what the enemy's possible strategy is. Makes sense to me. Now the question is, what do we do about it?

"Some people want the terrorists to win." What a crock of shit. You might find the odd nutjob out there, but by and large, the loyal opposition in this country wants an adjustment of strategy, not goal.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 2

The Termite Strategy

Salon is running an article today about various bills quietly wending their way through Congress that would undermine Roe v. Wade. Regardless of your personal opinions on the matter, there's some good information in there about the effects of Bush's abortion policy on the international health community as well as about a set of bills that have not yet gotten much public scrutiny.

Link courtesy of Crooked Timber.

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 0

Iraq Problem Solver

B laid down the challenge a while back, and it's been sitting in the back of my head ever since. The problem is definitely hard -- how do we "fix" the situation over there, assuming that we do not have magic time machines. At this exact moment I feel a magic time machine is actually our best option. Now that I think about it, developing a time machine might be cheaper than extracting ourselves from this mess. Be that as it may:

The US has the following overarching goal: To reduce the security threat against the US, worldwide. In the age of the super-empowered man, technology is a growing threat; one that can cause remarkable devastation. It is not so much the technologies of today that we are worried about; rather, it is the technology that will be available twenty years from now. We must embark on courses of action now that will yield a more secure environment in the future, several decades hence.

A secondary goal of the US is to preserve a measure of economic dominance over the rest of the world, to the extent that is possible.

We'll stipulate that liberating Iraq is, in the moral sense, the "right" thing to do. I won't stipulate that this particular liberation gives the US the most human rights bang for its buck; it's not even close. Remember, two days Army $$ time in Iraq is more than Bush's entire commitment to solve problems like AIDS.

I recall when the war was launched that I was decidedly unsure about it. I couldn't really make up my mind whether or not it was the right thing to do. The WMD explanation just didn't really make any sense; for the Administration to claim now that "every thought there were WMD" just doesn't make any sense. There were plenty of people (like, practically everybody) in the world that didn't think they existed in any significant quantity.

Quotes abound from the Adminstration and its penumbra before the war, telling us how it will cost next to nothing, there will be open arms waiting, and how Iraqi oil will take care of everything. These things have not come to pass, and while I believe that most Iraqi people are happy that Hussein is gone, much needs to be done to ensure that some feral Islamic Fundamentalism does not take root, and we do not swap one oppression for another.

We don't want to have hundreds of dead and thousands of injured so a bunch of nutcases can take charge, by default.

I think I've criticized enough. So what are the policies I would engage?

1. Institute an immediate, life-long permanent 3% tax cut for regular force members with a minimum of five years service OR deployment to a combat zone. Give the same tax cut to reservists who are deployed to a combat zone. Pay for this tax cut (which won't cost much) by chopping Bush's tax cut to the wealthy by a micro-fraction. This accomplishes a couple of things: First, we stop giving our Armed Forces personnel flowery platitudes, and actually do something that will help them. It's a permanent thank-you. And yes, I believe it is right for wealthy industrialists having their feet rubbed by young models to pay for it. Their freedom is being guaranteed by men and women in dust and danger.

2. Begin a grass-roots democratization of Iraq. Start with something very simple -- organize blocks of the city, and ask people on each block who should represent them on that block. Start with that person. Roll up the blocks into large precincts, and larger units. Provide funding for this exercise, secure conference facilities, communications (cell phones), and organization of the issues. This "semi-democracy" gets some say pushed down into the people almost immediately. Most Iraqis are offended by the Governing Council -- they think it is full of sycophants and profiteers. They may be right. It certainly isn't effective. The GC is top-down, and ineffective. What's needed is bottom-up organization. Send the Dean people over there; they get this shit.

3. Organize three different groups of Iraqi scholars to draft constitutions. They're going to compete against each other to produce the best document, and the population is going to have a referendum to pick one. Make available a variety of modern constitutions for perusal. The Governing Council shouldn't be in charge of this one -- let it be an academic exercise at first, then publicize intermediate drafts. Pay for all publication of this material -- deliver it to every house in the country, so that every Iraqi has a chance to read these structuring documents.

4. Vigorously pursue the use of Iraqi companies to do reconstruction and repair work. Let the Iraqis use their own standards and methods. By all accounts the American and international companies doing reconstruction work in Iraq are incredibly overpriced, inefficient, and not doing what really needs to be done. More than anything else, using local companies is an exercise in positive long-term relationship management. After all, we're essentially sticking Iraqis with the bill for all of this, in the long run. We would like for their children, paying this debt twenty years from now, to at least think that they got a good deal for their money.

5. Make it clear to France and Russia that Iraq's debt level is a problem, and if international support for the democratization of Iraq is not forthcoming in terms of troops and aid, portions of that debt are going to be "restructured". They're trying to screw us right now, and in some sense the US deserves it. Bush's insults are not being forgotten. Since they're not going to love us any time soon, we might as well get into it with them, and make it clear that there's going to be plenty of pain to go around.

6. Immediately shift materiel emphasis away from the fancy-ass "smart" weapons that cost a million bucks apiece to blow up a camel. Move some of this cash into ground troop equipment, so the soldiers get the kevlar vests they need to survive.

7. Decentralize. Shift some aspects of the command out of Baghdad. Move government offices away from Baghdad. Moving vulnerable targets out of the city makes sense, either to the countryside or to other, less violent cities. Pay for the Red Cross to set up outside the city. Pay for the UN to do the same. Provide free transportation, via buses, to these sites from most areas in the city.

8. Drop the remaining part of the Bush tax cuts, and redirect the money into warfighting accounts. We're going to need it.

9. Create a corps of several hundred contemporary Iraqi story gatherers. Their job is to go out into the community and collect stories and opinions from, recording everything they see and hear. Publish all this, in as raw and unedited a form as possible, for free. I know this sounds spacy, but there has to be a way to connect Iraqis with the positive potential for change. Creating a history as they go along is one way to get at the problem. I distinguish from reporting -- I want more historian than reporter.

10. Abandon plans to lower the force level in the coming months. Everyone knows that the only reason this pullback is planned is for political cover. Don't bother. This is past politics -- every single soldier-oriented piece I read talks about how the hours are long and hard, and that there's just too much ground to cover, too many things to do...we cannot simply go by the pronouncements of senior officers. They're being told what to say, and they know what happens if they don't say it. Look up "Shinseki".

11. Fully fund our current account at the UN, which will cost several billion. It may help to regain the trust of some. Offer to underwrite half the cost of UN humanitarian efforts in Iraq, for a period of time.

It seems like much of this list has a pretty large price tag attached to it. It does...and it's unavoidable at this point. More on this topic when I'm not so tired.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 1

China lays out Lunar plans

Space Daily is reporting that the Chinese have announced more details for its Lunar plans. Within the next three years, the Chinese will launch a Lunar orbiting probe, which is intended to produce three dimensional maps of the lunar surface, information on the composition of the Moon's surface, maps of lunar soil depth, and measurements of the environment between the Earth and the moon.

Beyond the lunar orbiter phase of the plan, the Chinese also hope to develop a automated lunar lander, possibly equipped with a pathfinder-style robotic rover, and eventually a sample return mission. All of this presumably leads to the possibility of a manned Chinese lunar mission, which has been a stated goal of the Chinese space program for some time.

Which means that Burt Rutan needs to get moving so that by the time the creaky apparatus of the Chinese Communist government lands on the moon, they'll find Americans already there, selling timeshare condos and opening amusement parks.

[wik] Do you realize how cool a lunar amusement park would be? Just think of the roller coasters you could build in 1/6th gravity. Also, in weak grasp of the Moon's pull, you could literally strap on wings and fly.

[alsø wik] I really hope that whatever successes the Chinese have in their space program, it does not result in some panicky space race reaction on the part of the American government. The best way to kick ChiCom ass is simply to let the unlimited creativity of the American economy to the job.

Posted by Buckethead Buckethead on   |   § 2

Don't Call Republicans For Fiscal Responsibility

The most common defense Republicans had on the financial responsibility issue was that things went well in the Clinton era because "the GOP was in charge of congress". Well, they're in charge of everything at the moment, and what do we have? Federal discretionary spending growth of 12.5%. Excluding "one-time" charges (I use quotes because there isn't anybody left who thinks that Iraq and our other little wars are going to be one-time), the growth in spending is still 7.9%.

Compare that figure to an average, under Clinton, of 2.4% per year.

So what is going on?

Clearly the GOP is losing the ability to call themselves fiscally conservative. They're not; clearly they are rather incredibly financially irresponsible. Bush's platitudes about reining in the cost of government were either campaign BS, or he just doesn't have a clue about how to do it.

Here's my hint...bring Clinton back in. He managed to turn everything around once before, and chances are he can do it again.

The most likely effect of this is that the GOP will become even more stridently socially conservative, and will begin to break down the wallsl of tolerance that have existed. With numbers like these, and their credibility being destroyed in virtually every direction, the only way they can hang on to power is by using the mechanisms of fear.

To do that they need to create divisions in the population, reward one side, then malign, punish, or silence the other side. They need to create a series of national litmus tests; where "real" citizens pass, and others don't. Pick your issue: Abortion, Patriotism, Tax Breaks...all of these are being used to create divisions and generate support. It has become clear to me that the cynicism and/or incompetence of those in power is approaching critical levels.

[url="http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A28252-2003Nov11?language=printer]Government Outgrows Cap Set by President[/url]

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 3

Return of the King

Gregg Easterbrook, he of the donnybrooks (ooh! piquant!) over race, economics, and the Elders of Zion, has returned to the only thing he should be allowed to do in public: write about football.

Tuesday Morning Quarterback, which recently was erased from ESPN so totally I was doubting my own memories of reading it, is back at footballoutsiders.com.

[mincing, jerky victory dance]

While you're over there, do check out the main footballoutsiders site. They do statistical modelling of football in the way that Bill James and Baseball Prospectus do for baseball, and are good writers to boot. It's almost enough to make me like math.

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 0

Anniversary

A year ago this week, in fact a year ago this Friday, I got word that the axe was going to fall on my incredibly rewarding yet aggravating music-industry job. The label was going through some changes, and one change was that music fans would no longer be needed. Or so I editorialize.

Upon hearing the news, I went out and did the proper music-industry thing; got straight shitfaced on tequila and beer. I knew it was coming. The dumbest Labrador retriever ever born could not have missed the signs. But that didn't make the fact any more fun. And so; tequila.

Now, a year later, I find that I've lost touch with that thing that I went into the business to cultivate-- my enthusiasm, my mania, for awesome fucking rock and majestic thunderous roll. I don't buy records. I don't go to shows. I don't read the magazines, not even Mojo. On the other hand, I also no longer compulsively analyze everything I hear from a marketing-cost-per-unit perspective, which is nice, but the joy which I bled away at some point during the end days of my too-short career never quite came back like I hoped it would.

Last Friday on the train home, I got kind of sad. I was listening to "In A Silent Way" and as the disc got to that part about 10:42 into "Shhh/Peaceful" where Teo Macero really screwed up the edit and two parts mash together like a Lydian-mode trainwreck, I realized that a few years ago, that shit would have given me chills. Not so much any more. Music comes second in my life right after family, and several steps before food, shelter, and Italian shoes. And yet, meh.

So I need all y'all's help. Despite my limited resources and lack of shelf space (in fact, my wife has forbidden me from exceeding my current 30 shelf-feet cd footprint), I need to know. What music in is setting your ass on fire?

My kickass purchases in the last twelve months have been few. The Flaming Lips' "The Soft Bulletin. "Up From The Cellar," the Motown rarities compilation. I finally repurchased REM's "Automatic for the People." But that's it. A far cry from the halcyon days when every! single! week! brought a new wonder: Turbonegro; Josh Rouse; Black Rebel Motorcycle Club; Don Cherry; The Yeah Yeah Yeahs; an eventual collection of dozens of Zappa discs; ...and You Will Know Us By The Trail of Dead; The Sheila Divine; Erin McKeown; Rhinoceros; Sigur Ros; The North Mississippi All Stars; Mirah; Robert Randolph; Aceyalone; Shuggie Otis; Oren Blowdow [sp?], Dr. Octagon; Buck Owens reissues; Handsome Boy Modeling School; Antibales; The Fucking Champs; Gorillaz; Los Amigos Invisibles; and the greatest of all, a concert by the great Princess Superstar herself aboard a floating party boat in the Hudson River.

I hope those days aren't gone for good, because that would suck mightily. So help a brother out. What's ringing your bell?

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 6

Jurisdictional Games

The Supremes, fresh off a tour of Japan, are going back in the recording studio, this time to hear an appeal on behalf of detainees held at Guantanamo Bay.

The issue at stake is whether US law extends to that foreign soil. The Military and Executive claim that Gitmo is and always has been under Cuban sovereignty. The appellates argue that they are being held in violation of international laws that the US is bound to uphold under treaty.

Here's what I think. The whole Gitmo/military tribunal thing is a cheap dodge of our judicial system, and one that the Administration ought to be ashamed of. So far there have been exactly Zero military tribunals, and very little other movement towards processing, prosecuting, and/or releasing any person held there. In a time when the US is attempting to assert the primacy of democracy in the world, it's both dangerous and two-faced to circumvent those very laws at home.

I'm not going to argue that the people being held at Guantanamo Bay are heroes, much less all good folks. That's vanishingly unlikely. But indefinite detentions coupled with no examination of whether these are the guys to detain is a scary precedent, as is the doublethink that allows the government to assert US domain over Guantanamo Bay when necessary, and deny the same when convenient. As the Washington Post puts it, "The administration effectively asks Americans to tolerate the indefinite detention of large numbers of people with no charge, no accountability and no seeming urgency about making the rule of law into a reality."

The Post article linked above does a good job of articulating the issues at hand. Go read!

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 1

President Bush Signs Abortion Act

You can be for, you can be against, but you can't deny that there wasn't a single woman on the stage when Bush was signing it.

From the White House site (for as long as it stays available):

Signing Ceremony

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 1

Baseball as business primer

Via some providential linkage, I came upon Management By Baseball, a weblog by a gent who draws lessons from baseball's organizational and managerial behavior and applies them to the regular business world. He's got some great insights and better yet is witty and concise.

His is a competing/complimentary to the "Moneyball" thesis, in that in the MBB model, lessons flow from baseball to biz, and Sabermetric managers attempt to do more or less the opposite.

I love convergence!

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 0

Disappearing Truth

Just when you're trying to find out what the truth really is, somebody makes it disappear. The Memory Hole has noted that an article in Time Magazine, written in March 1998 by George Bush Sr., has disappeared from the site. The article is entitled "Reasons Not to Invade Iraq".

Even more mysteriously, the article has also disappeared from the online table of contents for that issue.

In the interests of making sure that it doesn't pull another disappearing act, the article is below.

"Why We Didn't Remove Saddam"

George Bush [Sr.] and Brent Scowcroft
Time (2 March 1998)

The end of effective Iraqi resistance came with a rapidity which surprised us all, and we were perhaps psychologically unprepared for the sudden transition from fighting to peacemaking. True to the guidelines we had established, when we had achieved our strategic objectives (ejecting Iraqi forces from Kuwait and eroding Saddam's threat to the region) we stopped the fighting. But the necessary limitations placed on our objectives, the fog of war, and the lack of "battleship Missouri" surrender unfortunately left unresolved problems, and new ones arose.

We were disappointed that Saddam's defeat did not break his hold on power, as many of our Arab allies had predicted and we had come to expect. President Bush repeatedly declared that the fate of Saddam Hussein was up to the Iraqi people. Occasionally, he indicated that removal of Saddam would be welcome, but for very practical reasons there was never a promise to aid an uprising. While we hoped that popular revolt or coup would topple Saddam, neither the U.S. nor the countries of the region wished to see the breakup of the Iraqi state. We were concerned about the long-term balance of power at the head of the Gulf. Trying to eliminate Saddam, extending the ground war into an occupation of Iraq, would have violated our guideline about not changing objectives in midstream, engaging in "mission creep," and would have incurred incalculable human and political costs. Apprehending him was probably impossible. We had been unable to find Noriega in Panama, which we knew intimately. We would have been forced to occupy Baghdad and, in effect, rule Iraq. The coalition would instantly have collapsed, the Arabs deserting it in anger and other allies pulling out as well. Under those circumstances, furthermore, we had been self-consciously trying to set a pattern for handling aggression in the post-cold war world. Going in and occupying Iraq, thus unilaterally exceeding the U.N.'s mandate, would have destroyed the precedent of international response to aggression we hoped to establish. Had we gone the invasion route, the U.S. could conceivably still be an occupying power in a bitterly hostile land. It would have been a dramatically different--and perhaps barren--outcome.

We discussed at length forcing Saddam himself to accept the terms of Iraqi defeat at Safwan--just north of the Kuwait-Iraq border--and thus the responsibility and political consequences for the humiliation of such a devastating defeat. In the end, we asked ourselves what we would do if he refused. We concluded that we would be left with two options: continue the conflict until he backed down, or retreat from our demands. The latter would have sent a disastrous signal. The former would have split our Arab colleagues from the coalition and, de facto, forced us to change our objectives. Given those unpalatable choices, we allowed Saddam to avoid personal surrender and permitted him to send one of his generals. Perhaps we could have devised a system of selected punishment, such as air strikes on different military units, which would have proved a viable third option, but we had fulfilled our well-defined mission; Safwan was waiting.

As the conflict wound down, we felt a sense of urgency on the part of the coalition Arabs to get it over with and return to normal. This meant quickly withdrawing U.S. forces to an absolute minimum. Earlier there had been some concern in Arab ranks that once they allowed U.S. forces into the Middle East, we would be there to stay. Saddam's propaganda machine fanned these worries. Our prompt withdrawal helped cement our position with our Arab allies, who now trusted us far more than they ever had. We had come to their assistance in their time of need, asked nothing for ourselves, and left again when the job was done. Despite some criticism of our conduct of the war, the Israelis too had their faith in us solidified. We had shown our ability--and willingness--to intervene in the Middle East in a decisive way when our interests were challenged. We had also crippled the military capability of one of their most bitter enemies in the region. Our new credibility (coupled with Yasser Arafat's need to redeem his image after backing the wrong side in the war) had a quick and substantial payoff in the form of a Middle East peace conference in Madrid.

The Gulf War had far greater significance to the emerging post-cold war world than simply reversing Iraqi aggression and restoring Kuwait. Its magnitude and significance impelled us from the outset to extend our strategic vision beyond the crisis to the kind of precedent we should lay down for the future. From an American foreign-policymaking perspective, we sought to respond in a manner which would win broad domestic support and which could be applied universally to other crises. In international terms, we tried to establish a model for the use of force. First and foremost was the principle that aggression cannot pay. If we dealt properly with Iraq, that should go a long way toward dissuading future would-be aggressors. We also believed that the U.S. should not go it alone, that a multilateral approach was better. This was, in part, a practical matter. Mounting an effective military counter to Iraq's invasion required the backing and bases of Saudi Arabia and other Arab states.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 4

The Truth Gap

Last night I watched Chris Matthews' Hardball; the subject of the show (and this week) is essentially "What is really going on in Iraq?". The show went "live" some of the time to Bob Arnot, who gave a summary, and also went "semi-live" (which is when they pretend to be doing something live when it really isn't) for a walking tour of an Iraqi market, and interactions with the sellers.

Why is it so hard to figure out what the truth is in Iraq?

On one hand, we have the Administration telling us that everything is pretty much great, the plan is solid, the people are happy, and that the miscellaneous deaths and violence that we're seeing are a natural result of the process. Conservative pundits across the web look for every piece of evidence they can find to support this position. There is a constant focus, from those who support the Administration on the good we are doing.

On the other hand, certain parts of the press are painting a more dire picture. The international press, in particular, is pretty rough on the occupation and paints the situation as being somewhat ouf of hand. Negative press also tends to focus on the endgame; how, exactly, do the cells of terrorists and insurgents get eliminated? Is there a constant resupply of these people? The constant focus of the "counter-Administration" people is the endgame; they ignore the very real good that is happening.

So how are we to parse all of this? There exists at the moment two polarized spheres, their centers of gravity fixed on their essential positions, unable to move from them. Journalism and truth itself has been sacrificed to maintain these positions.

The Right reframes all criticism of the war as unpatriotic. The Left reframes support of the war as partisan.

Where are the neutral voices? Why, at this critical juncture in history, are there so few widely known, reputable sources of truth? Why has the truth gap become so vast?

When the truth gap opens, we look down into it...it is the abyss. If we cannot repair this and begin to agree on truth again, from first principles, we will never find a rational path forward.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 0

"Undocumented Workers" to sue Wal-Mart

So some of the illegal immigrants who were busted last week working for a contracter who cleans Wal-Marts are suing Wal-Mart for discrimination.

Let's review. Illegal immigrants who were caught working illegally are suing a company that did not employ them charging that said company discriminated against them and therefore violated the civil rights, that they, illegal immigrants, allegedly have in this case.

Can they even do that? Or is Attorney Gilbert Garcia merely cackling over a very small pile of sweaty ones and fives?

My head hurts from banging it against my desk repeatedly.

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 4

Smackdown!

Today's required reading is this measured gutting of Kim du Toit's famous essay on how women are a curse. Really, go read. It's exactly as fair as the piece deserves.

Thanks to the lovely and clean-smelling Ted Barlow of Crooked Timber for the link, and check out as an added bonus "Why the Bombings Mean That We Must Support My Politics," an essay in the same post from another member of CT.

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 0

Draft Possible?

Talk of a draft grows despite denials by White House.

If we reframe the Iraq situation and have the possibility of a draft, what happens to American support for this war? It disappears.

It's one thing to have a son drafted into the Army to defend the nation. It's another thing when it's a war in another country, for obscure reasons, started with less than half truths...

Our generations may yet understand Viet Nam, in fear...

Tacitus gives his current opinion on Iraq, and mentions the draft, as a terrible but possibly necessary choice.

Via Daily KOS, this chilling comment from Paul Wolfowitz:

Q: Hi, Mr. Wolfowitz. My name is Ruthy Coffman. I think I speak for many of us here when I say that your policies are deplorable. They're responsible for the deaths of innocents and the disintegration of American civil liberties. [Applause]

We are tired, Secretary Wolfowitz, of being feared and hated by the world. We are tired of watching Americans and Iraqis die, and international institutions cry out in anger against us. We are simply tired of your policies. We hate them, and we will never stop opposing them. We will never tire or falter in our search for justice. And in the name of this ideal and the ideal of freedom, we assembled a message for you that was taken away from us and that message says that the killing of innocents is not the solution, but rather the problem. Thank you. [Applause and jeers]

Wolfowitz: I have to infer from that that you would be happier if Saddam Hussein were still in power. [Applause]

***snip***

Q: I'd just like to say that people like Ruthy and myself have always opposed Saddam Hussein, especially when Saddam Hussein was being funded by the United States throughout the '80s. And -- [Applause] And after the killings of the Kurds when the United States increased aid to Iraq. We were there opposing him as well. People like us were there. We are for democracy. And I have a question.

What do you plan to do when Bush is defeated in 2004 and you will no longer have the power to push forward the project for New American Century's policy of American military and economic dominance over the people of the world? [Applause]

Wolfowitz: I don't know if it was just Freudian or you intended to say it that way, but you said you opposed Saddam Hussein especially when the United States supported him.

It seems to me that the north star of your comment is that you dislike this country and its policies. [Applause]

And it seems to me a time to have supported the United States and to push the United States harder was in 1991 when Saddam Hussein was slaughtering those innocents so viciously.

So opposing policies is Unamerican. It's good to know that. Especially when we're being told that by one of the most powerful men in the current Administration.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 4

Drug Raid At S.C. High School

So the police went in, guns ready, commando-style, and took down...a high school. Awesome!

A few thoughts spring to mind.

It's hard to second guess police in a situation like this...but the fact that they found nothing in their raid is pretty telling...sounds like an over-reaction to me.

Sometimes you can suspect that, well, the school is full of drugs, and when you actually send the men with guns in, you find nothing. But, the dogs smelled something on some of the kids. At least they had that! I am sure the kids had a drug program of some kind. Maybe they were cultivating.

Plus kids get to see what guns look like close-up, and from different angles, like pointing right at you! Cool! It's a learning experience for them.

I am pretty sure these kids are going to realize that we are doing the right thing. If a few of them get killed by mistake, at some point, we really have to think of the greater good.

Don't we?

I wonder if the Patriot Act was helpful in opening up the lockers of those nasty kids.

Yes, yes....there really was a drug problem in this school. I know that. I'm just not sure I'd be all that happy to be a parent of a kid being sent to this particular school, at this time.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 1

Let's Stop Pretending

Dan Drezner's Brother is a pretty rich guy (investment banker). He wrote there on how most people pay nothing in taxes, except for rich people, and how the heck can we expect rich people to do anything more?

The giant holes in this argument are easy to spot.

Social security is a tax on the poor and middle class ONLY, to the tune of 15.8% of income. Sales tax is usually another 5% or more.

So our "zero tax payer" pays, in fact, around 20% tax right out of the starting gate, even if he's not paying anything in federal income tax because his income is low. He's also paying property taxes, "license fees" (taxes in disguise), and a myriad of other little taxes that really add up.

We need to stop pretending that the social security deductions are any different from our normal taxes. They're not. They're used in the general fund. If we just think of the whole thing (fed, state, SS, etc) as the tax burden, suddenly it doesn't seem like such a great deal to be poor any more. So if we're just going to push them into the general fund, we might as well make it the "flat rate tax" that conservatives have always pushed for so vigorously. Here's your chance! Prove it's what you really want.

You know, the "lucky duckies".

Remember: Take the taxation rate on person X who isn't crazy rich, add 16%, and you know what they're really paying in taxes. Better yet, add another 5% for state taxes, and another two or three for the various "licenses" we need to have. Pretty soon you're talking real money.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 6

White House Puts Limits on Queries From Democrats

According to the Washington Post, the White House has decided that it will no longer respond to questions about government finances from members of Congress who aren't Republicans. Of course, what they say is that they'll only respond to committee chairs, but since all the chairs are Republican, it's the same thing, right?

Last time I checked, the chairs of committees didn't carry any more legal authority into Congress (voting support) than any other member of Congress. This whole committee business is something that has to change. When you have half the Senate controlled by one party and half by the other, the chairmanships ought to be split equally.

Why does this Administration fight releasing information at every turn? Why are Cheney's conversations about energy still secret? Are there truly so many necessary secrets?

There aren't. Just as we've seen the Patriot Act being abused to prosecute crimes unrelated to terrorism, we're now seeing executive powers abused. These people aren't interested in what's right. They're interested in what they're legally able to get away with. And truly, that is why they emphasize the rule of law at every opportunity. You see, what they're doing is legal.

It's extremely useful to place all this in context. We had a tempest in a teapot last week, with RepubliFoxNews shouting to all who would listen (in other words, the people that already agree with them) that the democrats were "politicizing the intelligence process". This was continuously repeated all around the blogosphere as well. Doesn't it make sense to go to the memo itself, read it ourselves, and judge?

Look at the opener on that story: "Following is the text of a memo written by a Democrat on the staff of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence that suggests how to make the greatest gain off of intelligence data leading to the war against Iraq. The memo was obtained by Fox News".

Talk about leading the reader around by the nose. Don't bother reading it, they're telling you. We've already done that for you!

This memo is a tactical one. It's trying to figure out how to get an investigation of intelligence matter started, because they're being stonewalled in every other way. And, as I pointed out earlier, the White House is becoming substantially less cooperative vis-a-vis elected representatives. These committees are fundamentally political entities. If they weren't, the chairmen would listen to requests made by all committee members, rather than only those made by his party.

All in all this points to the following: The White House views our elected representatives as nothing more than speed bumps on the road to "getting it done", whatever it is. We sure as hell can't count on anything they've said so far to understand what they're doing.

It's just another pile of steaming crap, fresh out of the GOP's "The Earth is Flat" Playbook. Yeah -- the earth is being flattened. And by the time they're through with it, it'll be scorched too. But it won't matter to Bush and Corporation -- they'll be safe in their gated communities, paying less in taxes than the workers whose jobs they are vigorously sending overseas, in the name of "productivity", or shareholder value, or whatever BS line they're delivering this week.

Get this straight: Increasing shareholder value only helps if you're a shareholder. With the massive decline in the economy overall, I suspect that the average citizen in this country will be returning to historical investment positions. Most of the time that means he really won't have any. And that's just fine with the ruling majority, who'll continue to suck the lifeblood out of that guy's family and finances with regressive taxes needed to give the very richest among us a massive tax cut, use his money to pay for a war he doesn't give a shit about, and hand the bill to his children, while shielding their own children by eliminating the estate tax.

I love a good conspiracy theory.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 1

Fixing Patents

Great reading here...the FTC is releasing findings about the patent system. Reading this, it's just common sense to do so, and everything in here squares with what I've experienced.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 0

Voting Without a Choice

A must-read editorial in the Washington Post.

Gerrymandering has produced districts that where, due to strategic reallocation of funds to contested areas, one side or the other has essentially ceded all ground. It represents the destruction of local politics, and the reduction of discourse to the lowest common denominator. Why? Because at the national level of politics, only the lowest common denominator applies.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 4

Bush is No Reagan

Good article from The Economist; well worth reading. Not being as entirely aware of history as I should be, it's interesting to learn that Reagan's tax reform was, on the whole, pretty much revenue neutral. He was able to drop rates, but close loopholes at the same time, and I guess we can presume that he did us all a big favor by doing so.

Bush's tax cuts are far from revenue neutral. Yes, it seems like the economy is starting to turn a corner, and that is a very good thing. It's been a really tough environment out there. The thing is, there is an ever-widening gap between the sales pitches the administration uses to get its policies passed, and the reality on the ground afterwards.

For example, Brad DeLong notes that the President's "Council of Economic Advisors" projected, last February, that passing the "Jobs And Growth" package would result in an overall increase of 300,000 new jobs. Actual figure: A loss of 2.3 million jobs. That's a pretty big gap.

So what we're learning is this: If there's some vague effect on the job market that the tax cuts have, it's very weak at best, and in no way, shape or manner does it even begin to resemble the sales pitch provided to America beforehand.

We've provided massively for the Rich in this country so jobs would be created, so we were told. The trickle-down effect would help us all. What we've found is that Bush tax policy has had little effect on anything, other than effecting a massive inter-generational wealth transfer, as the current generation in power spends like mad, running up the national deficit, financing their own retirements.

You can bet they'll all be voting as a block in the years to come, forcing the younger generation into ever-more extreme taxation and deficit positions, whining and bitching that "they paid into social security all their lives".

We'll see about that.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 2

Our Blogfather in high form

Lileks has today published the nearest thing to a screed he's had in a while. He assaults Ain't It Cool News, head red, Harry Knowles and his recent analysis of the third Matrix movie. I have not yet seen the aforementioned moving picture, but Lileks' pen strikes several telling blows:

Alas, he cannot write. He is a horrid stylist; he writes like someone mashing the keyboard with bratwursts; his politics have the sophistication of a preschool crayon drawing, and his self-confidence in his insights is matched only by his inability to see how fatuous his work often sounds.

The social pleasantries now disposed of, Lileks moves in a little closer: 

and the Machines - they're drilling to put a stop to it all. Now, the problem is - the only person that can put a stop to The War" on Terrorism are the terrorist.

He are, are he?

NOW - What is Agent Smith? Essentially, Agent Smith was Communism. If we are all the same, then there is no reason for violence. Resistance is Futile. Communism was fantastic as it represents an ideology that the Capitalist and the Extremists both hated. And it was spreading and taking over and trying to assimilate cultures and suppress belief systems. Or you could say AGENT SMITH is that Born Again Christian type that is trying to eradicate another's belief system - and ultimately - the elimination of both either politically, humanly or functionally is a move towards peace.

You can't make this up. You can only stand in awe. If I can untangle the wet knotted shoelaces of Knowles' prose, he seems to be saying that we can only live in peace when everyone agrees to believe in nothing but peace.

Ultimately what they believe or we believe is inconsequential.

Spoken like a man with no beliefs. Or, more accurately, spoken like someone who thinks that line above demonstrates some sort of intellectual sophistication lost on people who do the whole work-kids-church thing. Trust me, Harry - what someone believes is of great consequence. And if your society believes nothing it ends up making its last stand in the Temple of No Particular Belief System with the squiddies hammering on the door, possessed of a terrible certainty: they believe you should die.

Read the whole thing, as they say. His summation of the Matrix trilogy is especially interesting:

I took away something else from the Matrix trilogy: it is a product of deeply confused people. They want it all. They want individualism and community; they want secularism and transcendence; they want the purity of committed love and the licentious fun of an S&M club; they want peace and the thrill of violence; they want God, but they want to design him on their own screens with their own programs by their own terms for their own needs, and having defined the divine on their own terms, they bristle when anyone suggests they have simply built a room with a mirror and flattering lighting. All three Matrix movies, seen in total, ache for a God. But they can't quite go all the way. They're like three movies about circular flat meat patties that can never quite bring themselves to say the word "hamburger."

Philosophically, the Matrix movies are banal, but they're no worse than the empty animism of George Lucas' Force-centric cosmology. As dramas, they lag - but Wagner wasn't thrill-a-minute, either. The moments of emotional connection are few, but they're there, almost like Burma-Shave signs spaced out every hundred miles.

I have enjoyed the first two Matrices, althought the first was certainly the superior film. One thing that I enjoyed was the cafeteria style eclecticism with which they injected the philosophical bits - it allowed you to construct a better dialogue in your head. You could fill in the blanks in a way pleasing to your aesthetic, without worrying over being contradicted by a awful, banal, overly determinate summation at the end of the movie. Ambiguity is the artist's best friend - it is the cinematic equivalent of the old chestnut about silence being mistaken for wisdom.

Posted by Buckethead Buckethead on   |   § 5

That's Right,I Said the GREATEST Country In The History Of The World

From Matt Welch at Reason:

Yesterday in Bolinas, California, this ballot measure passed with 67.4% of the vote:
Shall the following language constitute a policy of the Bolinas Community Public Utility District? Vote for Bolinas to be a socially acknowledged nature-loving town because to like to drink the water out of the lakes to like to eat the blueberries to like the bears is not hatred to hotels and motor boats. Dakar. Temporary and way to save life, skunks and foxes (airplanes to go over the ocean) and to make it beautiful.

What the effing hell, you ask? Go read the comments, which explain all, my little moonbeams.

For an unsurprising picture of the author of this measure, known as "Measure G," click the little blue thing here....
image

The accompanying text from SFGate.com reads, "Jane Blethen, who authored Measure G, now walks around with a burlap headband and strips of burlap tied around her legs and her face smeared with dark brown chocolate"

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 0

Edmund Morgan's Mash Note To Ben Franklin

[also posted to blogcritics.org]

I'm deeply in love with our times, a relentless booster for the progress of technology and the wonders of the modern world. Sometimes I like to play a game with myself called "What If Ben Franklin Were Alive Today," in which I see if I am geek enough to explain things to Ben Franklin (were he shot forward in time) so that he would understand. Steel-frame skyscrapers, lasers, baseball, the miniskirt, internal combustion, Magnetic Resonance Imaging, the Internet, cellular biology, the periodic table, hip-hop music, it's all fair game. Needless to say I have a lot of spare brain-time on my hands.

Why Benjamin Franklin? Because of who he was. Other figures from history shared his relentless curiosity and erudition: Erasmus, Copernicus, Galileo, and Newton come to mind. But these men, save Newton, belong to another age, and Newton was a recluse. But Benjamin Franklin is engaging in so many ways-- he was a rabble-rouser, Renaissance man, writer, editor, diplomat, inventor, scientist, endless self-promoter, the last true Enlightenment thinker and the first true American. Moreover, his work on electricity was the foundation of a mind-boggling array of advances. He wrote the first Pennsylvania constitution! Discovered the gulf stream! Invented lightning rods! And most of all, he was deeply in love with his times.

The difficult thing about Franklin is something I've already mentioned: his gift for managing his personal mythology. As his autobiography proves, he was keenly aware of his reputation and happily manipulated it for his own ends. Consequently it is hard to identify the line between who Franklin was and who he said he was. Is he the simple, self-deprecating moral teacher of Poor Richard's Almanac? Is he the keen-witted inventor who flew a kite, invented bifocals, and wrote endlessly about the sciences? Is he a fraud, content to chase French courtesan tail while other people did the work and then collect the credit? Or is he the enterprising lad and genially amused gray eminence of his own autobiography? Of course, he is all these things. Franklin's nature is too changeable, and his legacy to large, to be captured in one description. All of this makes Edmund Morgan's recent biography of the man very welcome.
Edmund Morgan is one of the great historians of the past century, and he is certainly one of my favorites. Less prone to political self-refutation than younger lions like Eric Foner or Gordon Wood, and less prone to progressive determinism than others of his generation, Morgan's major works are landmarks of contemporary historical thought. Now at the end of a long career Morgan has written a project entirely for himself; a portrait of Ben Franklin drawn entirely from the man's own writings. Although it is billed as a biography, a more apt description of the result would be "appreciation."

It seems Morgan likes to play my game too. As he tells it in the preface, "[Franklin] has made it possible for us to know the man behind that presence better than most of those who enjoyed it could have. Franklin can reach us in writing that speaks with a clarity given to few in any language at any time, and writing was his favored mode of communication. We can read his mail. And we can read an astonishing amount of everything else he wrote. . . . For the past fifty years scholars have been collecting every surviving scrap of it from all over the world, and it will eventually fill forty-six or more printed volumes of the Papers of Benjamin Franklin. Meanwhile, it is available on one small disk, a product of those inconceivable discoveries he dreamt of. This book exists because of that disk, which enabled me to write it-- no, compelled me to."

This endeavor is rare for two reasons. First, it is uncommon these days for an historian to write a preface without using the words "interrogate," "problematize" or "framework." Second, it is rare that a vanity project of this sort is actually worth reading. On the first count, Morgan has always been relatively immune to theoretical fads, and on the second, he rises far, far above type.

Since Morgan relied entirely on the papers of Benjamin Franklin to write the book, many important episodes in Franklin's life are elided or left out entirely. Morgan treats Franklin's childhood in Boston very briefly, as well as his arrival in Philadelphia (so memorably recounted in Franklin's own Autobiography). Relations between Franklin and his wives are somewhat sketchy, and we do not get very much sense of the good or ill Franklin left in his wake. The trouble is, Franklin is already heavily biographied-- two major contributions to the field have come out in the past two years, by H.W. Brands and Walter Isaacson-- and the difficulty comes in trying not to simply rehash familiar material. So what is to recommend a work which by its own lights is a narrowly-sourced love letter?

The answer is this: Morgan does not pretend to undertake a thorough examination of the life, times, and legacy of Benjamin Franklin (as if you could do that in 300 pages!), but rather only "say[s] enough about the man to show that he is worth the trouble. It is... pretty one-sided, a letter of introduction to a man worth knowing, worth spending time with." On that count, Morgan succeeds totally. We come to know Franklin as a man very much of the world, successful and happy, and unafraid to use his reputation, power, and connections to do what he thinks is right.

Not that the brevity or affection for his subject is a liability. He might be in awe of Franklin, but Morgan is historian enough to acknowledge when events require further discussion, and when Franklin was simply wrong. For example, of all the accounts I've read, Morgan charts most clearly Franklin's transformation from English Patriot to American Patriot in the years leading up to the American Revolution.

Franklin spent the years before the Revolution in England, trying to achieve compromise between the colonies and Crown. At the time, Franklin thought of himself as a British Citizen from America-- not an American. At the same time that his counterparts in the colonies were beginning to speak of revolution, Franklin was still actively dedicated to preserving the union. Morgan spends much time discussing how this identity shaped Franklin's efforts to reconcile an intransigent Parliament to the real needs of the colonies despite repeated setbacks and open hostility. The change comes not after his public humiliation in Parliament, when the powerful forces he had on his side-- William Pitt among them-- cannot sway a government determined to punish the colonies for demanding a say in their own affairs, but after Parliament and King reject out of hand petitions sent from America. To Franklin, this meant that the ancient right of subjects (the colonies) to petition the Crown for a redress of grievances had been revoked, and that Britain had done the damage. Despite this realization, Franklin continued working to keep war at bay, but with the realization that when push came to shove, he was first an American.

The same episode demonstrates that Franklin was prone to miscalculation, often misreading to disastrous effect signals coming from America to England. As the chief agent of America at Parliament, he was often called on to speak for all 13 colonies on slim information, often blundering at full speed into powerful opposition. Morgan digs beneath Franklin's own words here, repeatedly wondering aloud if Franklin in these years understood what he was doing and who he was dealing with. The impression Morgan gives here is quite a departure from the slick and homely man-of-the-world image Franklin himself cultivated.

One gets the sense that Morgan has been doing some outside reading, because he spends many pages on Franklin's time in France raising money for the American Revolution. This in itself is unremarkable, but Morgan seems to have read David McCullough's recent biography of John Adams. In that book McCullough, through Adams, casts the elderly Franklin as a doddering old fraud, chasing tail and recieving guests but never actually doing any work. In contrast Adams comes across in Morgan's book as a pushy, blustery jerk with a persecution complex. The truth is of course somewhere between-- Adams totally failed to understand that tail-chasing was a vital part of court diplomacy in France, and Franklin never let Adams (who was a pushy jerk) in on his plans.

Although it succeeds wonderfully as an "introduction," Morgan's book comes up a little short as straight biography. For example, Morgan ends his story before Franklin's death, mentioning his final works but not his date of passing. This and other episodes of date-free writing might make the chronology a little hard to follow for newcomers, but Morgan helpfully supplies one in the Appendix for those who may get lost. Such issues aside, Morgan has drawn from Franklin's papers a compelling and altogether enjoyable account of the life of the first great American. But it is only a taste. If you intend read Morgan's biography-- and you really ought to, it's short-- I would recommend first reading Franklin's excellent Autobiography (a short and compulsively readable joy), and following Morgan with either the Brands or Isaacson volumes. Both present a more complete picture of the man, but neither comes close to Morgan in examining the human complexity of their mercurial and fascinating subject.

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 2

Frickin' Beaners

Drudge is reporting that some of the undocumented immigrants that were arrested in the WallMart bust are now planning to sue, yes, sue WallMart for - get this - discrimination as well as failing to pay overtime, withhold taxes and make required workers' compensation contributions.

What these people fail to realize is that they are, you know, illegal aliens. The very first thing that they did when they arrived in our country was to break our laws. They have absolutely no right to sue. They should be immediately deported. (Not that WallMart should get off - employing illegal immigrants violates the law as well.)

Many people who complain about our policies toward illegal immigrants are accused of racism or the usual parade of PC claptrap. But there is a world of difference between wanting to stop illegal immigration and wanting to stop legal immigration. We can argue about how many people from what countries we should let in and for what reasons until the cows come home blue in the face - fine - but there should be no argument that illegal immigration is, well, illegal and should be stopped.

[wik] Our own Minister Ross is a legal immigrant, and despite his lefty canuck ideas, is a perfect example of the sort of person we should allow in. A effective crack down on illegal immigration would not effect him.

[alsø wik] We do not want to go down the road that Europe and especially Germany have gone, with a permanent population of unassimilated gastarbeiter who are second class citizens. The only way to prevent that is to reduce the immigration from Mexico, so that those who are here can assimilate, and will not be permanently isolated in Spanish speaking enclaves and having minimal interaction with the rest of soceity. We also need to level to Canadian ghettoes in our richer suburbs.

Posted by Buckethead Buckethead on   |   § 4

The Relentless March Of Stupid Technology

Here in the DC area there's a story getting some buzz: Glitches Prompt GOP Suit Over Fairfax Tabulations. The GOP is absolutely right to protest this vote; it's not about anything other than the validity of the process.

The machines in question are the WinVote model, from Advanced Voting Systems. Just listen to their pitch: The functionality linchpin of the WINvoteTM system is its wireless LAN (IEEE 802.11b) system - called the Wireless Information Network (WIN) -- that enables the user to communicate remotely with the major components of the voting system.

Does anybody else see a problem with enabling wireless communications to voting machines? This is just f'ing stupid, beyond belief. Encryption can help ameliorate the situation, but what I see is the possibility of ne'er-do-wells attempting to disrupt elections with laptops. All they have to do is hang around the building within a few hundred feet, and they can screw with the election machines to their heart's content.

Who wrote the IP stack on the machines in question? We can't tell from the web site, which means in all probability it isn't open source. That means we have no idea what stack is running in there and what its vulnerabilities are. Even encrypted stacks can be vulnerable to certain kinds of attacks.

Voting companies have been pretty underfunded. Why are we trusting our democracy to these stupid machines? The only function of a computer in the democratic process should be to help print a legible vote.

Count me, as a computer guy, concerned.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 2

And how, exactly, is striptease like terrorism?

Because paying off the sheriff to keep your dive open is exactly like driving a truck bomb down the Vegas Strip. Or at least's that's the lesson I glean from this story of the PATRIOT Act being used against a strip-club owner in Vegas who got caught bribing politicians.

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 1

And How, Exactly, Is Sex Like Counterfeiting?

Because making porn is almost as good as printing your own money.

Fox news is reporting a new reality series based around finding new porn talent:

http://www.foxnews.com/printer_friendly_story/0,3566,102247,00.html

Profits from this show will be massive, especially once the DVD is for sale. The $100k prize for the winner would be chump change by comparison.

There's a reason why companies like Vivid Entertainment Group are $150 million+ entities.

Posted by GeekLethal GeekLethal on   |   § 3

The Gunpowder Plot examined

This story from the UK is interesting - some physicists from the University of Wales at Aberystwyth have figured out how much damage Guy Fawkes' barrels of gunpowder would have caused had his dastardly plot not been foiled. Apparently, he would have "devastated much of London as well as blowing the palace of Westminster sky-high."

"Using explosion physics the team deduced that streets up to one-third of a mile from the centre of the palace of Westminster would have suffered severe structural damage and windows would have shattered within a radius of two-thirds of a mile from the centre of the blast."

Dr Geraint Thomas, head of the Centre for Explosion Studies, (now there's a cool job title) said that the 2,500kg of gunpowder Guy Fawkes was found with, would be equivalent to the same amount of TNT due to the fact that explosives expert Fawkes had carefully packed the gunpowder tightly in barrels.

Here's a summary of the plot for those in need of one.

Posted by Buckethead Buckethead on   |   § 2

Beleaguered Conservatives

On the group-blog Crescat Sententia, Amy Lamboley describes the blog-world as "a clubhouse for rightwing nuts." Okay, context is everything, so that's not what she said, exactly.

Which is good, because it could never be true, could it?

[wik] According to Kim DuToit (link above, on the word "could"), American men have become "a nation of women." "Ooh, In my day, men were men! We drank whiskey! Women didn't vote! And we cut our firewood by hand! And we liked it!" Yes, and today I'm a man who knows that some whiskey goes better with a touch of soda, is very happy that women vote (even if they push the country to the left (please!)), and is smart enough to heat my home with gas so I don't have to moisturize my hands and face every ten minutes in the dry heat of a wood fire.

My message to Mr. duToit: Get a life, queen bee. It's my world, you just live in it.

[alsø wik] The highlight of Mr. duToit's self-parodying rant is this gem about Queer Eye For The Straight Guy (which according to him airs on the Homo Network): "what kind of girly-man would allow these simpering butt-bandits to change his life around?"

Very clever, Kim. But I ask you, [by your own lights,] what kind of girly-man [would I be to] allow [my] masculinity to be called into question by a Canadian gun nut with a woman's name?

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 12

Liberal Media Juggernaut Rolls On!

Nothing can stop it! No force can turn it aside! No elixir can save you! No bromo can cure you! Their awesome force shall not be denied!

Unless it's by a cabal of whiny pissant conservatives who claim to be marginalized and use their ostensibly nonexistent soapbox to scream "the Gipper wuz libeled!" over an effing television show thereby causing a national network, the very bastion of the Pablum-Puking Liberal Media Juggernaut, to hastily pull said show off the air and apologize abjectly like puppies who just fouled the rug.

Liberal effing media, my ass. That insurgent-conservative schtick don't play no more if you can call the shots. Go cram it, with walnuts.

/*shuffles sullenly leftward, hands in pockets.

[wik] My message to the chattering conservative set: Seriously, folks, a hatchet job on the Gip isn't the end of the universe. You already got the guy a freaking airport, f'r crying out loud, and he's not dead yet! (he's not?(no!)) If you're so exercised about it, go make one of your own and show it on Fox. I'm sure there's no shortage of hagiographers you can find to write the script, and I would welcome an effort that avoided Streisand connections.

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 0

Punk'd!

A little while back I mentioned a story about Fox News suing the Simpsons.

Despite that it sounded like just the kind of thing that might actually happen, Matt Groening says that he was kidding about that.

Dammit! I was punk'd!

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 0

In the running for November

An early contender for the November 2003 Perfidy Prize for Inadvertant or Vertant Asshattery is our own President's staff. From Calpundit:

THE MEMORY HOLE RE-REVISITED....First we had the White House scouring their website for headlines that said "combat operations" in Iraq were over and changing them to say "major combat operations" were over. You know, because the original got kind of embarrassing when American soldiers kept dying.

Then the White House webmasters blocked Google from caching all Iraq-related documents, but they seemed to have a good explanation for that so I let it slide.

But yesterday there was more historical revision: an interview in which an administration official said reconstruction would cost no more than $1.7 billion was mysteriously deleted from the USAID website.

Now, today, Josh Marshall reports that the White House altered the transcript of a presidential speech in a way that completely changes the meaning of what he said. Just one teensy little letter, though!

Is there an innocent explanation? Sure, maybe. But considering the track record here, I'm sure as hell not giving these guys the benefit of the doubt on it anymore.

Me either. My favorite thing this weekend was watching Rumsfeld on the news shows. I have never seen a man so adept at making me feel so stupid, so stupid! for remembering things differently than him, with his strained grin hinting at barely restrained contempt sitting there trying to work a Jedi Mind Trick on the whole nation. Breathtaking!

[wik] Mark A. R. Kleiman writes more about this. He notes that the change-- which made "We see a China that is stable and prosperous" into "We seeK"-- merely follows a similar formulation elsewhere in the article. But this is a public document, and my sense is that Bush's people tend to treat the historical record like a poorly-run weblog, editing text and changing arguments where convenient without a thought of flagging that the update was made. Not a hanging offense, but not something I want in a President either.

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 4

We have a winner!

In a belated ceremony, the October 2003 Perfidy Prize in Inadvertant or Vertant Asshattery goes to the clearly deserving Food and Drug Administration for this genius move:

FDA considers forcing restaurants to provide nutrition information.

The state's job is not to save people from themselves. And yet here we are discussing seriously whether every diner, sandwich cart, and restaurant in the country should tot up fat, calories, and vitamin content for their offerings. And how, exactly, will this work for places who change the menu every day? And what if a restaurant runs out of the salmon special mid-shift and has to toss together a substitute? Will they be fined for serving Undocumented Food?

How long until no small business can survive under the weight of the American Nanny-Regulatory State? "Welcome to America. Here's your helmet and leash. Would you like your nose wiped?"

Jesus Horatio Christ. I need a cookie.

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 0

On Reconstruction

The Economist has an article (graciously reprinted online) on the reconstruction of Iraq.

They see the glass as half full-- many utilities have been restored to prewar levels, oil is flowing-- which is valid. But I don't think that's too great. While I get that it will take time, "prewar levels" just aren't that great a benchmark. We can be doing better.

The entire article is worth a read, and the most interesting bit is at the end. It suggests that big oil companies aren't biting at Iraqi oil contracts, because such interests "tend nowadays to look at the lifetime capacity of a field, not at the chance of a quick profit. 'You're talking about a horizon of 10-12 years, minimum,' says a European businessman searching for deals. Despite the high technical calibre of Iraq's oil ministry, outsiders are not yet confident that long-term contracts will be watertight."

So, even if it was all about the oil (and yes, let's not kid ourselves that the economics of oil aren't a big piece of the Whole General Sort Of Mish-Mash), it's not really about the oil now, for better or worse. Ironic.

Of course, until sabotage is minimized, infrastructure upgraded, pipelines re-established, and stable operations established, investing in Iraqi oil is a fool's game suitable only for sinking giant sums of US government money. That's ironic too, and unfortunate.

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 3

Johno's Roundup of Significant Things

In this issue:
The CPI Follows the Money Trail To Nowhere
Stone Cold Thuggin'
Afghanistan's Steps Toward Constitution
Happy Kitten Sunshine Story Time

Read on, below the fold!
The Money Trail To Nowhere

The Center for Public Integrity has released "Windfalls of War," their report on the correlation between cronyism and contracts in Iraq. You know, the Halliburton thing. Daniel Drezner riddles the report with too many holes to fly. Drezner's central rebuttal is that by asserting a statistical correlation between campaign contributions and size of Iraqi reconstruction contracts, the CPI put themselves in the position of arguing from no evidence.

Drezner's argument is pretty persuasive, though some commenters disagree. What is not said, though, is that the CPI chose a piss-poor way of measuring cronyism. All the CPI report's research shows is that campaign contributions played little role in determining who won contracts to rebuild Iraq and Afghanistan.

Drezner himself makes the salient point in a footnote: " the primary thrust of Windfalls of War is that the process is riddled with malfeasance rather than disorganization. The notion that there was a conscious effort to reward Bush cronies with lucrative government contracts would require a lot more centralized coordination than the CPI report uncovers."

As Godwin's law runs, "never chalk up to malice what may be attributed to stupidity." The more likely scenario as regards reconstruction contracts is this: there are maybe ten construction companies in the US large enough to undertake the rebuilding of Iraq, and fewer than that of companies who specialize in oil infrastructure (Halliburton among them). In the evident administrative chaos that surrounded the Administration's run-up to the aftermath, Occam's Razor suggests that Cheney, Condi, etc. said "Hey, I know a guy...." and the calls went out.

If they're serious, the CPI needs to do a much more detailed investigation into whether cronyism played a role here, because by using the numbers they did, they demonstrate a fundamental lack of understanding of the nature of the beast.

Personally, I find it hard to believe that cronyism played no role in getting Halliburton, Bechtel, etc their phat contracts, but CPI sure haven't found any smoking gun yet.

Stone Cold Thuggin'

David Brooks has an op-ed piece in the New York Times today which argues that the "opposition" we're fighting in the Sunni Triangle are the remnants of Saddam Hussein's thug brigades for which the delicious money/power teat has dried up. He doesn't actually use the phrase, "delicious money/power teat"-- that's my innovation-- but that's the gist of it. He argues that making progress in the next few months is crucial, so that by the time Iraqi police, mayors, and so on are ready to take over they just have to mop up instead of fight a well organized crime syndicate.

It would indeed be grand if the Iraqis would hunt the killers. They know the territory. They can get the intelligence sources.

But the administration would be making a mistake if it sent the signal to the American people that the hard work from here on out would be done by the Iraqis themselves. After all, is it realistic to think barely trained policemen can, over the next six months, deliver blows against bands of experienced mass murderers? Is it realistic to think that a local Iraqi mayor will take on the terrorists and so risk his own death, when the most powerful army in the history of the earth is camped just nearby?

Cori Dauber, guest-posting at the Volokh Conspiracy, links to Brooks' piece commenting

It is also important to keep reminding ourselves that for many Iraqis the pain of the old regime is still front and center, which puts comparisons between the situation before and after the war in a slightly different light. How is the situation in Iraq today? Too often when that question is asked we forget to begin the answer with, "well, the torture chambers are closed and there are no new mass graves."

Damn right. And that's the legacy that our agents in Iraq need to be very, very careful not to resemble in any way even by accident. This is part of that "hearts and minds" campaign that we have been posting about in this very venue, and I say again I think it's the most important fight of all in the greater war.

Afghanistan's Steps Toward Constitution

The Afghani draft Constitution was unveiled this week. It features a unitary government led by a President, makes no mention of the Shari'a laws, codifies Islam as the religion of Afghanistan, and makes provisions for the speedy replacement of a deceased President in order to prevent coups.

This is great news. While it's true that you rarely get more than one shot at a Constitution, what I've seen seems encouraging.

That being said, the problems that plague Afghanistan are deep and cultural. Violence is a way of life there. The Atlantic Monthly carried a story last year that underscored how deeply the language, ways, and ethos of violent reprisal suffuse the entire culture, affecting even aimable relations against neighbors. Paraphrasing a bit from the article, I remember one woman in the mountains who told the writer that she was in the market for a rocket launcher because her neighbor up the mountain-- with whom she had no particular quarrel-- had one too.

In a country that has never really known stability in the sense we understand it, fostering goodwill and cooperation for a new Constitutional government will be a huge challenge, especially with the Taliban still mounting attacks.

Happy Kitten Sunshine Story Time

Look at the kitties! Look at them!

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And that's it for today. Have a cromulent day.

Posted by Johno Johno on   |   § 0

Attack of the Clones

The AP is reporting that sales of cloned cattle are increasing in anticipation of an FDA ruling that cloned beef is safe to eat. Personally, I don't see how the FDA could rule otherwise, given that a clone is by definition an exact copy of another animal. If the original ambulatory steak was edible, so will its identical twin. Of course, we must get ready for the deluge of dirty hippies screaming, "Frankenfood."

Meanwhile, I eagerly await my first cloned steak. It has such 50s retro science of the future feel to it. I arrive home from work in my jet car, park in the garage of my circular, all-glass home of the future, tell the robot butler to hold all calls on the videophone, and sit down to a meal of cloned beef and genetically engineered potatoes. What could be better?

Posted by Buckethead Buckethead on   |   § 2

Drug Prices

Standard but faltering Republican rhetoric on the drug issue is twofold: First, safety is compromised by using those nasty Canadian pharmacies; everybody knows millions of people die every year in Canada from taking bad drugs (right). Second, it's really about the research dollars; the rest of the world is mooching off of the US.

I heard an interview this morning on NPR with the Republican governor of Minnesota, Tim Pawlenty. His plan is a state-sponsored mail-order program that will import drugs from Canada. Citizens (I refuse to call them consumers) order their drugs from a web site maintained by the state, which selects the Canadian pharmacies that are eligible to participate. The state is then able to maintain a significant amount of control over the quality of the pipeline.

Much of the free-for-all that exists in the American drug distribution system simply does not exist in Canada. If you've been following the Washington Post article on the subject, you realize by now that the American drug system is full of tiny suppliers who keep medicines in the back of their Honda Civics, and sell them to whoever will ask. The "chain of custody" for medications is something that the pharmacy distribution system has been fighting for years. Why? They want to preserve their ability to get gray-market drugs, and enhance their bottom lines.

Tamoxifen is one of the most widely prescribe drugs for treating breast cancer. In Germany, in that country's national health care system, the drug costs around $60 US for a month's supply. In Canada, a month's supply costs about $50 US. Here in America, that exact same drug costs about $350 for a month's supply. How many thousands of women are dead because they could not get the medicine? A very large number. And as the number of uninsured increases, the number of deaths increases.

But why does this happen? How can the drug cost seven times as much here as it does elsewhere? The reason is that there is no global cost-benefit analysis within the American system.

If a drug, like Tamoxifen, is the best course of action for a given health situation, the doctor must prescribe it. The cost is simply not a part of the equation. If the doctor doesn't prescribe it, he/she will be sued. The insurance company must pay the bill; if they don't pay, there can be severe consequences. What we effectively do is prevent any form of cost-monitoring, in the system. The drug companies love this, and know this...and they know that they are able to raise their prices almost at will; insurance companies will be forced to pay, because doctors are forced to prescribe. Perhaps it is incorrect to say that doctors are forced to prescribe; they are prescribing what they believe to be the best available medication.

In Canada, Germany, and other National Health Care systems, the system works a little differently. In these systems there is global cost monitoring. What the system does, in effect, is examine the cost-benefit ratio of a medication like Tamoxifen. At $350 for a month's supply, there is a measurable benefit to the administration of the drug. The health care system is going to look at what else it could have done with that much money. If it can gain better care elsewhere (save more lives, increase quality of life) with the same money, that's what it's going to do. In effect, the health care system itself becomes the consumer, allocating scarce resources where it can find the most benefit.

The price of Tamoxifen in Canada is $50 because that is the benefit it provides to the health system. It is not about price controls; the Canadian health care system will not pay more than $50, because at that point, the money is better spent elsewhere. The German health care system has set this boundary at $60.

I submit that the American health care system needs this kind of global control; or, at least, it can become statistically aware of the efficacy of the drugs it uses, and construct an index of the cost-benefit of medications. The lack of caps on spiralling medical costs in the current American system is due to the lack of global cost-benefit analysis.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 3

Powers Of Ten

Very cool Java applet demonstrating the wonders of the universe, from the very large, to the very small...hopefully you have installed Java! If so...

Powers Of Ten

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 0

The Council of Concerned Citizens

The President is attending a fundraising event for Haley Barbour, who's running in Mississippi. Barbour, you will recall, was recently photographed smiling and enjoying himself at a CCC event. CCC is one of the more openly racist/freako organizations out there today; any google search will bring you information leaning in that direction. You will also recall that not so very long ago our good friend, the former Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott, was thoroughly raked over the coals for his association with the group.

Bush is "accepting" Barbour's explanation that "he didn't know who the group was", when he attended the event.

Let's summarize: The Republican President is accepting as an explanation that the Republican National Chairman was not aware of the political firestorm that erupted around the Republican Senate Majority Leader on racism issues; that he (the RNC chairman) didn't keep track of the "details".

The President knows full well that Haley Barbour knew exactly who he was meeting with.

Earth To Barbour: "Hey, Haley, Trent Lott is taking heat for being associated with the Coalition of Concerned Citizens. They're freaky and racist."

Barbour: "I have no idea who that political action group in Mississippi is. OK, we'll deal with it."

Earth to Barbour: "Why are you hanging out with the CCC? Didn't we cover this already?"

Barbour: "Who? I have no idea who you're talking about. But I can assure you that my intentions are honorable."

Earth to Barbour: "Stop doing fundraising events with the CCC and pandering to them to get their votes. It looks really bad."

Barbour: "Who? I have this funny blank spot in my mind. There's something that I just can't quite remember."

Bush: "I am the goddamn President, and if Haley says he can't remember, then he can't remember, alright? Haley won't be doing anything with the CCC any more."

Barbour: "Who? Everybody keeps talking about this like I should know who this racist group of my old friends is."

Bush: "Shut up, Haley. Didn't I give you and Allbaugh a totally cushy way to make millions funneling Iraq contracts? Aren't you supposed to be quietly making a killing? Stop making me look bad with this CCC business."

Barbour: "Who?"

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 1

Don't Cry For DarkProfits

I just read that there's another mass email worm on the loose. Yeah, denial of service is bad and all that, but this one apparently targets DarkProfits.com. They're the friendly folks who sent me (and my mother) a few dozen emails that loudly proclaim, in the subject line, "your credit card has been charged $247.35 for child porn", and provide a convenient HTML form where you can enter in your credit card details if you disagree with that charge.

It's an anti-spammer worm, which is an interesting development. It's sort of a stupid one, though...it makes no sense whatsoever to create a worm that only does one thing. You really want the bot army if you can get it, and it's a lot simpler to build something that morphs itself from one form to another, that is very general, that has little for scanners to get a hold of.

The bottom line is that Windows-based computation is in some pretty severe danger right now. Microsoft has absolutely insisted that the default state of the OS be that processes can do whatever they want, wherever they want. Unix takes the opposite view, that much of the system is protected from processes unless they can get rooted. Guess which one makes for a more secure system?

Of course all of that can be subverted, instantly, by one crappy program running setuid root. C may be a good language for writing bits and pieces of an OS, but it's lousy at security.

Posted by Ross Ross on   |   § 0